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Borrowers who continue to be battered by the pandemic-induced restrictions on their income generating activities are given further four months of loan relief and a host of other concessions, effective from September 01, 2021. The fresh round of payment holidays for affected borrowers came as the most recent relief scheme—third since the start of the pandemic.
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In a fresh attempt to rebuild the country’s foreign reserves ahead of external debt services running into billions next year, the Finance Ministry this week called for proposals from banks, investment houses and institutional investors to raise a foreign currency term loan denominated in US dollars, euro, renminbi or Japanese yen.
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Although the government is yet to reach a definite decision whether to go to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or not, it has begun preparations for austerity measures such as freezing new recruitments and restructuring welfare programmes in order to curtail government expenditure in the upcoming budget 2022 amid a narrowing fiscal path.
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Pushing back on claims made to the effect of reversal in the monetary policy towards a hawkish stance from a dovish stance, the Central Bank said it hasn’t made a turnabout and the measures last week were predominantly aimed at addressing some of the imbalances cropped up in the last few months in the foreign exchange market and also to pre-empt signs of some price pressures.
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Sri Lanka’s fiscal deficit expanded slightly despite higher revenues during the first six months of 2021 compared to the same period last year, made possible by the higher tax revenues collected during the first three months of the year from a burst in economic activities, before things began to sour thereafter due to virus related restrictions on the economy.
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The Internal Monetary Fund’s (IMF) US$ 800 million Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) allocation to Sri Lanka is only likely to provide some breathing space to the debt-ridden nation to delay a much needed IMF programme for a possible debt structuring until early next year, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF), a Washington-based global association of the financial services industry.
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Reinforcing an early cap imposed on the foreign currency-denominated deposits by the local banks, the Central Bank yesterday issued an order stipulating the maximum rate at 5.0 percent for deposits denominated in foreign currency up to one year, barring for special foreign currency deposits the regulator introduced last year.
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The Ceylon Electricity Board Engineers’ Union (CEBEU) and Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL) are throwing the blame at each other as a Malaysia-based renewable energy investor has resorted to arbitrary action against the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) for the cancellation of 35MW wind and solar power renewable energy project in Kankesanthurai while claiming US$ 160 million in damages from the Sri Lankan government.
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The Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL) has instructed the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) to come up with a fresh Long-Term Power Generation Expansion Plan, complying with the 70 percent renewable energy power generation target set by the government for 2030.
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Citibank in a note issued soon after last week’s monetary policy action said although the Central Bank would pause for sometime given the temporary respite they may get from the envisaged foreign inflows via swaps and others, it did not rule out further hikes in policy rates towards the end of the year and next year to keep external challenges in check.
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The Monetary Board yesterday raised policy interest rates, ending its unprecedented monetary support extended to the pandemic-hit economy in a bid to address recent external sector imbalances and ward off medium term price pressures to make sure the economy is on track to record 5.0 percent growth this year.
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The lingering virus could dampen the economic activities through the end of September, further delaying any hopes for a tangible recovery in the economy, which was continuously battered by half a decade of subdued growth before contracting last year.
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The trade deficit continued to widen for the fourth consecutive month in June on a year-on-year (YoY) basis, as imports grew at a faster pace, driven by consumer and investment goods, surpassing the pre-COVID levels, despite a decline in the fuel import bill and import restrictions in place.
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One of the fastest growing apparel manufacturers in Africa, Sri Lanka-headquartered Hela Apparel Holdings plans to raise up to Rs.4 billion (US$ 20 million) by offering 20 percent stake in the company through an initial public offering (IPO) on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) to fund growth initiatives in Sri Lanka and Africa, including its immediate expansion into Egypt.
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Sri Lanka’s cement industry could become the latest victim of controlled prices as manufacturers are contending with input and other costs, which are rising at a level that no longer enables them to stay solvent at the current retail price for cement.
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The Special Deposit Accounts (SDAs) introduced last year at the onset of the pandemic, offering a higher rate of interest for foreign currency deposits, are also playing a role in drawing more foreign earnings from the Sri Lankan expatriates working particularly in the developed countries, ICRA Lanka has observed.
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Sweet turns sour for local confectionery manufacturers as they are expected to feed into their production process substandard sugar which has hampered the overall quality of the end product reaching the market.
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The trade rebalancing act that took place between the United States and China has already worked in Sri Lanka’s favour, as the fabric supply chains began shifting towards South East Asia, seeking to establish new supply relationships after being too dependent on China for far too long.
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While computer literacy hasn’t reached a third of the population in Sri Lanka, the COVID-19 pandemic has given the country’s digital literacy a push with people picking up digital devices to connect with each other, work, study and entertain themselves while staying at home.
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Further relaxing the import restrictions initially imposed on agrochemicals, the Finance Ministry has allowed the importation of several previously banned chemical fertilisers under an import control licence (ICL) regime for plant nutrients, with effect from July 31, 2021, with the issuance of a fresh gazette notification.
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The Central Bank could stay on its current dovish monetary policy path through the rest the year, as the desired goals of such a policy are being achieved by way of accelerated pace of credit to the economy, although further easing is ruled out due to the potential excesses emerging in the economy.
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A workable plan backed by a durable analysis presents Sri Lanka with the best chance to overcome the current external debt crisis and a potential foreign exchange reserve crisis by rebuilding the confidence on the country among local and foreign investors, while averting a default scenario, according to a top economist.