Breaking Down the Israel–Iran Conflict: What We Know So Far - Day 100



By Moiz Mustafa


June 7 (Daily Mirror) –

Day 100 – One hundred days after the United States and Israel launched military strikes on Iran, a conflict that President Donald Trump initially predicted would end “very fast” has evolved into one of the most destabilising Middle East wars in decades.

Although a US-Iran ceasefire formally took effect on April 8, sporadic fighting continues across multiple fronts, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, and repeated diplomatic efforts have failed to produce a lasting settlement.

The war has spread far beyond Iran, drawing in Lebanon, Gulf states and international shipping routes while triggering a global energy shock that has affected consumers from Asia to Latin America.

Fresh tensions erupted this weekend after US forces shot down two Iranian drones near the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Iran to launch missiles towards Bahrain and Kuwait. The exchanges came as Pakistan renewed efforts to salvage negotiations, with Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi arriving in Tehran carrying messages from Islamabad's leadership.

Explainer: What is the Strait of Hormuz? How will its closure impact oil prices? Click here to read more

100 days of war: More than 7,000 people killed

The war has now killed at least 7,325 people across the region.

Figures may change as the situation develops.

Iran — killed: 3,468 | injured: 26,500+

Iran remains the primary battlefield of the war.

According to Iran's Ministry of Health, at least 3,468 people have been killed and more than 26,500 injured since February 28.

Among the dead are:

  • 240 women
  • 212 children
  • Senior military, political and security officials

Millions of Iranians were displaced during the opening weeks of the war as US-Israeli strikes targeted military facilities, infrastructure and urban areas.

Lebanon — killed: 3,593 | injured: 7,061+

Lebanon has now suffered more fatalities than Iran, despite not being the original target of the conflict.

At least 3,593 people have been killed and more than 7,000 wounded.

More than 1.2 million people have been displaced.

Israeli forces now occupy approximately 2,000 square kilometres of Lebanese territory, nearly one-fifth of the country.

Israeli troops have advanced as far as the outskirts of Nabatieh, marking their deepest penetration into Lebanon in more than 25 years.

Israel — killed: 26 | injured: 7,693

At least 26 Israelis have been killed and 7,693 injured in Iranian attacks.

Major Iranian missile strikes have targeted:

  • Tel Aviv
  • Dimona
  • Arad
  • Military installations and strategic infrastructure

The conflict has repeatedly pushed millions of Israelis into bomb shelters.

US soldiers — killed: 13 | injured: 200

The US military has confirmed 13 combat-related deaths and approximately 200 injuries across the region.

Other casualties

Bahrain: 3 killed, dozens injured

Iraq: 118 killed, dozens injured

Jordan: 0 killed, 29 injured

Kuwait: 7 killed, dozens injured

Oman: 3 killed, 15 injured

Qatar: 0 killed, 20 injured

Saudi Arabia: 3 killed, 29 injured

United Arab Emirates: 12 killed, 224 injured

War spreads across the Middle East

Iran has launched attacks against countries hosting US forces and allied infrastructure.

Countries affected include:

  • Bahrain
  • Iraq
  • Jordan
  • Kuwait
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Arab Emirates

An Iranian drone also struck a runway at a British military base in Cyprus, while Yemen's Houthi movement entered the conflict with missile attacks on Israel.

Most projectiles have been intercepted, though several attacks have caused casualties and damage.

Strait of Hormuz remains the war's most dangerous flashpoint

Perhaps the most significant consequence of the war has been the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20 percent of global oil and gas shipments previously passed.

Before the conflict, approximately 100 vessels crossed the strait each day.

Between February 28 and May 31, only 607 vessels transited the waterway, averaging fewer than seven ships per day.

Hundreds of ships remain stranded or diverted.

The United States has also maintained a naval blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, further disrupting maritime trade.

This weekend, CENTCOM said it shot down two Iranian drones near the strait, while Iran warned it could expand operations against US naval assets if the blockade continues.

Pakistan emerges as key mediator

Pakistan has become the most active diplomatic intermediary between Washington and Tehran.

Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi arrived in Tehran carrying what Iranian media described as a special letter from Pakistan's military and political leadership to Iran's supreme leadership.

Diplomatic efforts have continued since earlier talks in Islamabad, but negotiations remain fragile.

Iran insists trust in Washington remains extremely low.

Several rounds of talks, no lasting agreement

The war has repeatedly interrupted diplomacy.

April 8: Ceasefire announced

The United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan.

The agreement was intended to halt fighting and reopen diplomatic negotiations.

However, within hours, Israel launched more than 100 air strikes in Lebanon, killing hundreds.

April 11–12: Islamabad negotiations

The first serious post-war talks took place in Islamabad.

The negotiations ultimately collapsed over:

  • Iran's nuclear programme
  • Sanctions
  • Maritime restrictions
  • Security guarantees

Since then, multiple rounds of indirect contacts have failed to produce a comprehensive agreement.

Lebanon remains a major battleground

Despite a separate ceasefire that came into effect on April 17, fighting in Lebanon continues.

Recent developments include:

  • Three senior Lebanese army officers killed
  • At least 12 people killed in southern Lebanon
  • Hezbollah claiming 22 attacks on Israeli forces in one day
  • Continued Israeli air strikes and artillery bombardment

Lebanese officials accuse Israel of implementing a "scorched-earth policy", while UN experts have raised concerns about widespread destruction of civilian communities.

Global economy continues to feel the shock

The economic consequences of the war are now being felt worldwide.

Oil prices

Before the war:

Brent crude: approximately $70 per barrel

Peak during conflict:

Nearly $120 per barrel

Current price:

Around $100 per barrel

The International Energy Agency has described the disruption as the largest energy shock on record.

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146 countries report higher petrol prices

According to an Al Jazeera analysis:

  • 146 countries have reported petrol price increases
  • Myanmar has seen increases exceeding 90 percent
  • Nigerian motorists are paying more than 50 percent more
  • Fuel prices in parts of Latin America are roughly 40 percent higher

Higher energy prices have also pushed up:

  • Food costs
  • Fertiliser prices
  • Transport costs
  • Manufacturing expenses

Global growth concerns

The World Bank, IMF and OECD have all warned that the conflict is:

  • Slowing global growth
  • Raising inflation
  • Increasing recession risks

The World Bank also warns millions more people could face hunger if disruptions continue.

Financial markets show mixed reaction

Global stock markets initially plunged following the outbreak of war.

The S&P 500 fell more than 9 percent during the first month as investors feared a wider regional conflict.

Since then, markets have swung repeatedly in response to:

  • Ceasefire rumours
  • Negotiation reports
  • Military escalation
  • Statements by President Trump

Despite the war, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have reached record highs, driven largely by investment in artificial intelligence technologies.

Political pressure grows in Washington

The conflict is increasingly becoming a domestic political issue in the United States.

President Trump's approval rating has fallen to approximately 40 percent, while nearly 57 percent of Americans disapprove of his performance.

Debate continues over:

  • US involvement in the war
  • Support for Israel
  • Economic costs
  • The long-term viability of military action

What happens next?

After 100 days of conflict, the war remains suspended between diplomacy and escalation.

The ceasefire technically remains in place, yet missiles continue to fly, military operations continue in Lebanon, and the Strait of Hormuz remains largely paralysed.

Pakistan's renewed mediation efforts have created fresh optimism, but deep mistrust between Tehran and Washington continues to undermine negotiations.

With more than 7,000 people dead, millions displaced, global energy markets disrupted and no permanent settlement in sight, the war that was expected to last only weeks has become a defining geopolitical crisis of 2026.

For now, the conflict remains unresolved, and the path to a lasting peace remains uncertain.

Stay tuned for verified updates as the Israel-Iran war unfolds.

 


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