Sat, 16 Oct 2021 Today's Paper

UNP Deputy Leader Wijewardena mostly wrong on Covid-19 death analysis

23 September 2021 12:00 am - 1     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

A A A

 

The former MP claims that (a) 10 Covid-19 patients die every hour in Sri Lanka, (b) the ratio of Covid-19 death to cases in Sri Lanka is 1.5%, and (c) Sri Lanka reports the highest daily Covid-19 death rate in the Asian region at the time of his statement (i.e., 11 August).


To evaluate this claim, FactCheck.lk consulted Epidemiology Unit of the Ministry of Health and Our World in Data. 
On claim (a), the daily deaths due to Covid-19 reported by the Epidemiology Unit averaged 87.27 during 1-11 August 2021, peaking at 118 on the 11th. Accordingly, the highest that had been reported, (up to the date of the claim) was an hourly death rate of 4.917, which is much less than the figure claimed by the former MP (Exhibit 1).
On claim (b), the Covid-19 death rate can be evaluated against reported cases or the total population, and can be evaluated on a daily or cumulative basis. Therefore, there are four possible ways to discuss the death rate, and FactCheck.lk assessed all four of these calculations. The calculations were computed across the countries in the Asian region for countries reporting at least 500 cases per day, based on numbers available at Our World in Data.
On 11 August, the cumulative death rate against reported cases was 1.6%, which aligns closely with the former MP’s claim of 1.5%. 

On claim (c), Sri Lanka has reported the 6th and 8th highest death rates in Asia based on current and cumulative deaths per day on 11 August. Based on current and cumulative reported deaths per million, Sri Lanka ranks 4th and 16th respectively compared to the region. Therefore, Sri Lanka does not have the highest death rate in Asia using any of the four criteria computed above at the time of the former MP’s statement.


Both claims (a) and (c) made by the former MP, i.e., on the number of Covid-19 deaths every hour, and Sri Lanka having the highest death rate in Asia are incorrect. However, the data closely supports his claim (b) “death rate of 1.5%”, based on the cumulative deaths relative to reported cases.


Therefore, we classify his statement as PARTLY TRUE.


**FactCheck.lk’s verdict is based on the most recent information that is publicly accessible. As with every fact check, if new information becomes available, FactCheck.lk will revisit the assessment.

 

 

FactCheck is a platform run by Verité Research. 
For comments, suggestions and feedback, please visit www.factcheck.lk. 
 

See Kapruka's top selling online shopping categories such as Toys, Grocery, Flowers, Birthday Cakes, Fruits, Chocolates, Clothing and Electronics. Also see Kapruka's unique online services such as Money Remittence,News, Courier/Delivery, Food Delivery and over 700 top brands. Also get products from Amazon & Ebay via Kapruka Gloabal Shop into Sri Lanka.

  Comments - 1

See Kapruka's top selling online shopping categories such as Toys, Grocery, Flowers, Birthday Cakes, Fruits, Chocolates, Clothing and Electronics. Also see Kapruka's unique online services such as Money Remittence,News, Courier/Delivery, Food Delivery and over 700 top brands. Also get products from Amazon & Ebay via Kapruka Gloabal Shop into Sri Lanka.

 

  • Jamis Banda Thursday, 23 September 2021 03:17 PM

    What this man is doing here? Go and sleep at SIRIKOTHA with uncle RW!


Add comment

Comments will be edited (grammar, spelling and slang) and authorized at the discretion of Daily Mirror online. The website also has the right not to publish selected comments.

Reply To:

Name - Reply Comment




See Kapruka's top selling online shopping categories such as Toys, Grocery, Flowers, Birthday Cakes, Fruits, Chocolates, Clothing and Electronics. Also see Kapruka's unique online services such as Money Remittence,News, Courier/Delivery, Food Delivery and over 700 top brands. Also get products from Amazon & Ebay via Kapruka Gloabal Shop into Sri Lanka.

 


How a 19-year-old TikToker is helping bring back the Woolly Mammoth!

A young TikTok star and his friends are helping an ambitious gene editing pro

Unmasking Sri Lanka’s Pyramid Parasites

A Financial Cancer Spreading Through Sri Lanka Again...

Writing Letters to Michele Bachelet Causes Turmoil Within the TNA

The Tamil National Alliance(TNA) is currently in a state of great turmoil. Th

A state-sponsored elephant racket in the works

A controversial new gazette has been issued seeking to employ elephants for w