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The geo-politics that Prabakaran failed to understand

19 November 2022 02:07 am - 12     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

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Nalini, who was jailed for the assassination of Premier Rajiv Gandhi, gestures during a media briefing in Chennai on November 13, 2022, after India’s Supreme Court ordered her release. (Photo AFP)

 

Although six convicts of the Rajiv Gandhi assassination case were released by the Indian Supreme Court on November 12, four of them have been again detained as they are Sri Lankans who had entered India without proper travel documents. They are being lodged in a special camp in Tiruchi, Tamil Nadu. 


Some media reports indicate that the Indian authorities are in a quandary as to what action could be taken regarding them as they do not have documents to prove their country of origin. Yet, some of their details proven during the proceedings of the case might be used as proof of their country of origin, if they intend to deport them, according to some observers. 


Rajiv Gandhi assassination, that took place during an Congress Party election rally in Sriprumbuthur in Tamil Nadu on May 21, 1991, is a turning point in the Sri Lanka’s separatist war and there by in the recent Sri Lankan history as well. It is a result of the dynamics of the geo-politics in the South Asian region and it had a considerable bearing on the same dynamics which in turn paved the way for deep changes in the politics in both India and Sri Lanka. It also changed the relationship between India and Sri Lanka which had been severely soured in the context of an extension of the effects of the Cold War into the region, to a positive level.

 

Thus, the LTTE killed former Indian Prime Minister Rajive Gandhi, former Sri Lankan President Ranasinghe Premadasa, TULF leader A. Amirthalingam and many others. They miserably failed to change the suppressive attitudes of the Indian and Sri Lankan governments towards them by killing Rajiv Gandhi and Premadasa

 


The initial years of the separatist war in Sri Lanka, the Tamil armed groups seemed to be ideologically slanted towards left with some groups such as the EPRLF openly displaying pictures and quotations of Karl Marx, Engels and Lenin in their offices and propaganda materials. However, they, especially the LTTE openly dared to breach Lenin’s edict on individual terrorism. They killed leaders of rival armed groups, State officials and politicians. Even JVP, which stands for Marxism, unsuccessfully followed this method to the change course of the State oppression which they termed as State terrorism.


Thus, the LTTE killed former Indian Prime Minister Rajive Gandhi, former Sri Lankan President Ranasinghe Premadasa, TULF leader A. Amirthalingam and many others. They miserably failed to change the suppressive attitudes of the Indian and Sri Lankan governments towards them by killing Rajiv Gandhi and Premadasa.  Yet, they, by these acts made a tremendous impact on the disgruntled or rebel groups in many countries. For instance, an armed Madhesi group in Nepal with which the Nepalese Government signed a peace deal in 2010 had named themselves Liberation Tigers of Terai Eelam, so that the initials of the name, LTTE becomes identical as that of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam. (Interestingly, the word Eelam which means in Tamil “Lanka” had been borrowed from the Sri Lankan rebels)


The failure on the part of some of the Sri Lankan leaders as well as the Tamil armed groups, especially the LTTE to realise the geo-politics in the region cost the country and primarily the Tamils in the north and the east dearly. President J.R.Jayewardene, even being a seasoned and shrewd politician, chose to take the side of the Western powers during the peak of the Cold War provoking the wrath of India which was then a close ally of the USSR. And the then Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi provided the Sri Lankan Tamil armed groups with funds, weapons and training in early 1980s to fight against the Sri Lankan armed forces. In brief, as Zelensky of Ukraine did, JR, as he was commonly known, took the beating at the hands of the neighbour by supporting the latter’s enemy. 


Dynamics of geo-politics was alien to the perceptions of Velupillai Prabakaran as well. Even after all other Tamil armed groups renounced the armed struggle for a separate State within Sri Lankan territory in 1987, he fought not only with the Sri Lankan armed forces, but also with that of India.  Besides, he antagonised Tamil intelligentsia, Sinhalese leftists who initially supported his separatist cause and Muslims who were the majority in the Eastern Province. 


Despite India providing assistance to the Tamil armed groups, it in fact did not want an independent Tamil State adjacent to its Southernmost State of Tamil Nadu which was then home to 50 million Tamils. Indian leaders knew that such an independent Tamil State would result in separatist trends in Tamil Nadu as well while becoming a launching pad for secessionist movements that might so emerge in that State. Besides, it was a State where a separatist movement was active before it was outlawed by Jawaharlal Nehru in 1960s. 


India successfully convinced President Jayewardene’s government to accept the concept of devolution of power by diplomatically pressurising him using the senior officials of its Foreign Office such as G. Parthasarathy and Romesh Bandari by 1987. Also Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi used coercive means as well to implement the concept. He once, on June 3, 1987, sent a flotilla of ships to trespass into the Sri Lankan waters in the guise of sending food to people entrapped by the war in the Jaffna peninsula. On the next day 5 Indian planes escorted by two Mirage jets airdropped relief supplies in various places in the Peninsula.


Once it tamed Sri Lankan leaders, India no longer wanted to support the separatist cause of Tamil groups and hence thrust an agreement, Indo-Sri Lanka Peace Accord on both the belligerent parties in the neighbouring country, the government as well as the Tamil rebels in 1987. During the 4th SAARC summit in December, 1988 in Islamabad the then Indian Foreign Secretary S.K.Singh informed India’s official stance on the war in Sri Lanka to the media by categorically ruling out the possibility of carving out of a Tamil State in the island. Had Prabakaran realised, at least then what was in store for his struggle, tens of thousands of lives could have been saved in the next two decades.


Apart from the fears of separatism seeping into Tamil Nadu India was compelled to take military action against the LTTE as the outfit started to attack its forces, the “Indian Peace Keeping Force” (IPKF) stationed in the island, subsequent to the signing of the Indo-Sri Lanka Accord. Yet, the Indian leaders were in a quandary when anti-India feelings began to mount in its Tamil State due to the sufferings of Sri Lankan Tamils at the hands of the so-called IPKF. Hence, it wanted to leave the matter to the Sri Lankans to settle among them. It was further facilitated by an unceremonious call by President Premadasa for the de-induction of the IPKF which was completed in March1991.
Nevertheless, Prabakaran’s ignorance on the dynamics of geo-politics prompted him to assassinate Rajiv Gandhi two months after that, as a measure of revenge, pushing the Indian authorities to actively support the Sri Lankan government in its effort to eliminate the Tamil rebels.


The geo-political compulsion exerted on India to finger into Sri Lankan affairs was largely taken off by the end of the Cold War with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the socialism in the Eastern Europe in 1991 itself. Subsequently, India became closer to the West than J.R’s Sri Lanka. Hence, Indian leaders occasionally and ritualistically call on the Sri Lankan leaders to implement a comprehensive programme of devolution of power in the island which they can exploit in Tamil Nadu during elections. The call is now also used as a leverage to exploit economic gains as well.    


  Comments - 12

  • Peace Saturday, 19 November 2022 02:36 AM

    Sri Lanka for the sake of life long peace, stability, economic growth, should have two states in one country. USA has 51 states in one country, UNITED KINGDOM has four states in one country, INDIA has 28 states in one country.

    Rajaratnam Saturday, 19 November 2022 10:21 AM

    100% of the cultured Hindu Tamils of Sri Lankan origin never supported Prabakaran nor any other Tamil militant groups. Prabakaran understood this very well and this gave him the freedom to fight the Sri Lankan army or the Indian army in the Jaffna residential areas without worrying about the Tamil civilian casualties. The difference between both the armies in Jaffna was this; Sri Lankan army entered a Tamil house and killed the innocent sons, the Indian army entered a Tamil house first raped the wife and daughters in front of the father and sons and then killed everyone in the house including the babies and grand parents.

    Mandayan Saturday, 19 November 2022 09:04 PM

    Don’t talk nonsense please. President Premadasa said that Praphakaran was a brave Sri Lankan to fought off a foreign force and safeguarded the country’s sovereignty and freedom. In a way, he helped the Sri Lankan state with its sovereignty over North and East. Can you tell us why Indian forces was here and if Pirabkaran didn’t fight them what would have happened? The answer is North and East would have been a separate state within Indian Union. Now, Tigers are no more, Chinese are in the South and the country is bankrupt. What you this is going to happen? India is free to do what it’s like and the release of these 7 should be looked with that point.

    Mandayan Saturday, 19 November 2022 08:54 PM

    Prabaharan’s involvement never been proved in any court. Further a Police officer who was in duty confirmed that, at 1pm they had a briefing for an hour on a tip that there was a plot to kill Rajiv with a bomb hidden in flower garland. Between 1 and 7 Police had many opportunities to prevent this. Because of this tip not a single local congress leaders, accompanied Rajiv. Still the Police allowed 23 people with garlands, how and why?. One of them was Thanu who the police said, had the bomb, not in garland but in body. There are still unanswered questions. The tip is enough for the police to cancel the event or ban the garlands completely. Jain commission concluded, SubramaniaSwami and Chandra Swami must be investigated and none was questioned. Even though we dislike LTTE, don’t attach this to any Sri Lankans without prove, in the way the Indians wants us to believe.

    Sritharan , USA Saturday, 19 November 2022 11:35 PM

    @Mandayan, I am glad you are calling the comment from Rajaratnam as nonsense. Because you know very well that the Indian Army never went into Tamil homes in Jaffna and raped and killed everyone in the house. You also know very well Prabakaran never sacrificed Tamil civilians in thousands in his fight ( yes you are right ,definitely not suicidal war ) with the two Armies. You also know very well that in the 80s Prabakaran never deliberately planted land mines against both the Armies in the Jaffna middle class residential areas which resulted in hundreds of Tamils killed as repercussions by the both Armies. You also know very well Prabakaran and his LTTE never took their boots and fled into wanni jungle three weeks after starting the war with the Indians and thus leaving the Jaffna people at the mercy of the Indian Army. Mandyan you are so clever that your brains should be preserved after your death !

    Prabakaran Destroyed the Tamils Prrmanently Saturday, 19 November 2022 11:53 PM

    Mandyan, try this simple test . How many Tamil civilians have been killed since Prabakaran and his LTTE was destroyed in May 2009 ? Now think how many thousands of Tamil civilians would have been killed since May 2009 if Prabakaran and his LTTE were still operating. Because Prabakaran was an OUTSIDER to the mainstream Jaffna Tamils he never worried about the consequences for the Jaffna Tamil civilians, that was why he easily started his attacks against the mighty Indian Army. Prabakaran destroyed Jaffna forever and the people have fled to Canada permanently. But because you are an idiot or possibly a Catholic or from his village, you want to celebrate Prabakaran, the DESTROYER of the Jaffna Tamils.

    Killing of the beast should have happened in the 80s Sunday, 20 November 2022 04:27 AM

    Hello Mandyan, don’t try to speak up for Pranakaran. He is an uneducated cold blooded killer. This beast killed so many Tamil intellectuals and professionals, he killed the Jaffna MP and then few months later killed his wife, this is not part of Tamil culture . If this beast had been killed in the early 80s so many thousands of Tamil people would not have been sacrificed to the brutal Sri Lankan Army and the Satanic Indian Army.

    D G V Sunday, 20 November 2022 10:09 AM

    @Mandayan , you are confused mate. Do you think President Premadasa would have praised Prabakaran for fighting the Indians if it was the Sinhalese civilians and not the Tamil civilians who were sacrificed by Prabakaran to fight the Indians.

    Mandayan Sunday, 20 November 2022 03:38 PM

    Hello D G V: first read well and understand what Premadasa said when he asked IPKF to leave in a public stage. Also note Premadasa gave arms to the Tigers to fight IPKF. All others, I am no fan of VP. Like Rohana of JVP he too was a manic. However, that doesn’t justify a foreign army to come and massacre at least 15,000 our fellow citizens including patients and doctors at Jaffna General hospital. When questioned by the media about IPKF, the killings were justified by Rajiv. Heard of Uttam Singh? He waited in UK for 20 years to take revenge on General Dyre for the Jalian Wallabag massacres of 300 people. His hanged body exhumed and brought back to India as hero by Indra Ghandi. I talked about foreign army, massacres, rapes of our fellow citizens, and of Sri Lankan state sovereignty and but many of you talked about VP’s known side. Another view was VP was a politically stupid to fight off two armies.

    Chandran Sunday, 20 November 2022 07:18 PM

    @Mandyan, everyone agrees with you about the atrocities committed by the Indian Army against the Jaffna Tamils but what they don’t agree is your praise for Prabakaran. He could have avoided the fight with the Indians and fled to Wanni jungle but that would have made him look weak, so he fought the Indians for three weeks only to protect his own reputation and then took his own family and fled to wanni jungle with his full LTTE fighters. And the entire Tamil Population of Jaffna was left at the mercy of the Rapist Indian Army.

    Mandayan Monday, 21 November 2022 03:57 AM

    @Chandran: I have no reason to praise anyone but just recorded about the other side of a coin which if you like it or not, are facts and now history. VP, supported by the elected President of Sri Lanka, Ranasinghe Premadasa, fought off a foreign army who came for a long stay and there by ensured Sri Lankan state’s sovereignty over North and East. In return the foreign army committed mass atrocities to our fellow citizens. Rajiv was disliked by Sri Lankans from the beginning as a navy man tried to killed him in a parade and then now too the assassination accusations are still on Sri Lankans even though the the investigation and trail was not perfect as per Indian media. Agreed? Let me rest my case with this as enough is said.

    Punchi Monday, 21 November 2022 12:14 PM

    Many Indian Tamil houses in Tamil Nadu have two portraits in their houses: MGR and LTTE leader Pirapaharan. I have seen this personally when visiting houses in Tamil Nadu


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