Sri Lanka is stepping up its game in trade by going full steam ahead onnegotiating free trade agreements (FTAs) with three of its major trading partners - India, China and Singapore.
The -government hopes to conclude discussions and strike comprehensivetrade deals with India and Singapore by December 2016, and with China by the first quarter of 2017. Sri Lanka’s recent enthusiasm for FTAs with major trading partners, dubbed in the media as “FTA Mania”, is not without good reason.
Deeper trade integration and investment cooperation, access to markets/cheaper inputs and enhanced competitivenessetc., are among some of the potential benefits that FTAs offer partner countries. However, when tariffs are brought down through FTA negotiations, non-tariff measures (NTMs) can reduce the utilization of FTAs if they are not effectively dealt with. As experienced under the Indo-Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ILFTA),many Sri Lankan exporters have faced a multitude of difficulties in entering the Indian market due to the prevalence of NTMs – such asstate taxes, standards, and administrative procedures, quotas, etc. – which wereoutside the scope of the Agreement. Hence, NTMs should be identified at the onset in the trade negotiations and addressed along with tariff reductions/eliminations for FTAs to deliver the desired benefits.
Sri Lanka-China FTA: Game changer?
Sri Lanka’s forthcoming FTA with China is ofimportance given that it has the potential of being the biggest bilateral trade deal in view of China’spopulation andstatus as theworld’s second largest economy after the USA. So far, there have been three rounds of FTA negotiations with China;the last one was recently concluded in Colombo after a space of 1.5 years.
China is currently Sri Lanka’s second largest trading partner, while also being Sri Lanka’s second most significant source of imports, accounting for 20 percent of Sri Lanka’s total imports in 2015 (Figure 1). China is less important as an export market, accounting for just around 2.9 percent of Sri Lanka’s exports.But, China holds promise as an emerging export market as Sri Lankan exports to China have been growing at a faster rate than with the rest of the world;it is thus likely to emerge as an important export market with the signing of a FTA.
A joint feasibility study on the China-Sri Lanka FTA identified that the proposed FTA would facilitate anincrease of bilateral trade, particularly in certain product sectors of interest to Sri Lanka including, but not limited to, tea, rubber products, fish and fisheries products, textile and clothing, coconut products, gems and jewellery, fruits and vegetables, machinery and electronics. The study highlights that trade liberalization will increase in China’s imports from Sri Lanka between 29 percent (machinery and electronic product)and 120 percent (rubber), depending on the export product in question (Figure 2).
An independent study by IPS identified a total of 541 products in which Sri Lanka has a comparative advantage vis-à-vis the world, including China. Of the 541 potential exports to China, Sri Lanka already exports 244 products. The remaining 297 products with trade potential to China are currently not exported by Sri Lanka to China but are imported by China from elsewhere in the world, presenting new market opportunities for Sri Lankan exporters. However, the ability of the proposed FTA to be a game changer for Sri Lanka’s trade front depends on thecountry’s capacity to simultaneously address both tariff and NTMsamongst other issues tocapitalize on the untapped trade potential in China.
Challenges: Tariff and Non-tariff Measures (NTMs)
NTMs are “policy measures other than tariffs that can impact trade flows” and include technical and non-technical measures (Table 1). If NTMs are imposed by countries excessively beyond the specified measures to restrict imports from other countries, then they can be considered a Non-Tariff Barrier (NTB). The impact of NTMs on overall trade restrictiveness has been found to be significant and often more trade restrictive than tariffs.
The prevalence of NTMs has been a major concern for China’s trading partners. The WTO in its fourth Review of China’s Trade Policy called on China to address NTMs as countries have voiced concerns regarding their prevalence; these include anti-dumping duties, technical trade barriers, sanitary and phytosanitary issues, operations of state-owned enterprises, customs process, export restrictions, and the protection of intellectual property rights.
A study conducted by IPS, based on interviews with several major exporters to China and related trade associations, finds that both tariff and non-tariff measures are encountered by Sri Lankan companies exporting to the Chinese market. Generally speaking, non-tariff measures seem to be more challenging than tariff barriers for agricultural exports, while the opposite is true forindustrial exports.
Agricultural exports covered in the study (tea, fish and fisheries and fruits and vegetables) are mostly burdened by NTMs, compared to tariffs. With regard to NTMs, the commonly cited problems faced by agricultural exporters to China revolves around high sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) requirements compared to other export markets, and the lack of mutual recognition of standardsand certificates. For example,tea exportsto China aresubject to rare-earth content testing, which is unique to China and not a requirement in other markets.
Moreover, the exact particulars of this standard are not clear. It is also revealed that testing for rare-earth content is problematic as the available testing facilities in Sri Lanka are insufficient – the current facilities can only specify if rare-earth content is present or not in tea, but the levels of rare-earth cannot be determined as per se Chinese requirements. Moreover, China does not recognize testing and certificates provided by Sri Lanka, while testing in China is considered to be time-consuming and complex.
Issues relating to quarantine and testing/certification are reported across other agricultural export categories as major impediments, as well as lack of transparency with regard to the food safety regulations. The frequency of test reports and the levels/limits required in China areconsidered to be greater than in any other markets. The lack of necessary testing facilities in Sri Lanka to meet testing and certification requirements applicable to China is also highlighted asa major concern.
For example,fisheries exporters state that other markets require exporters of shrimp to obtain an antibiotic test report for one pond in a shrimp farm, while for China, antibiotic reports have to be provided for each and every pond in a farm. Meanwhile, obtaining quarantine requirements for fruits and vegetables arestated to be extremely cumbersome and time-consuming, involving a lengthy approval process. For example, it takes Sri Lanka nearly three years to obtain quarantine certification to export bananas to a few ports in China.
In comparison, tariffsarereported to be more challenging for industrial exports covered in the study (textile and apparel products, rubber and rubber products and gems and jewellery).Currently, China providesduty free access under several FTAs to a number of countries with which Sri Lanka directly competes. For example,textiles and apparels are subject to an MFN rate of 16 percent when entering the Chinese market, while under the China-ASEAN FTA, imports from Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Cambodia, Myanmar, Vietnam and Thailand have duty free access to China. Although Sri Lanka has preferential access to the Chinese market underthe Asia Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA), the margin of preference offered does not provide a competitive advantage to Sri Lankan exporters.
Rubber and rubber products are subjected toduties ranging from 15-30 percent, similar to gems and jewellery (0-5 percent on gems, 10.75 percent on base metals, and 17.5-30 percent on jewellery) compared to duty-free access for ASEAN members. However, exporters report stringent testing and specific requirements in China such as GB (Guobiao in Chinese) testing in the case of textiles and apparels. The latter requires more detailed test reports compared to other export destinations and Sri Lanka lacks the necessary facilities to undertake such testing.
Recommendations for negotiations
Sri Lankan exporters face both tariff barriers and non-tariff barriers when entering the Chinese market. An FTA, which does not address NTMs, may not be sufficient in delivering the expected trade gains for Sri Lanka. Therefore, it is imperative for China-Sri Lanka trade negotiations to simultaneously address both tariff barriers and NTMs.
Given that the agreement with China is going to be a comprehensive one, SPS/TBT issues will be taken into account during the negotiations.Some of the key issues to figure in negotiations, include but are not limited to, (a) addressing NTMs in addition to tariff concessions as a priority, (b) setting up Chinese accredited testing laboratories in Sri Lanka whilst (c) enhancing capacities and efficiencies of testing laboratories in the country which China may consider assisting under the umbrella of economic and technical cooperation, (d) striking Mutual Recognition Agreements (MRAs) on standards, (d) translating all trade-related documents/ regulations/ information into English, (e) appointing nodal points in both countries to handle issues at the point of clearance; and (f) establishing
better relationships/coordination between relevant respective competent authorities to facilitate trade.
(This blog is based on the IPS study ‘Exporter’s Perspective on Accessing Chinese Market under China-Sri Lanka FTA’. Nipuni Perera is a Research
Officer and Dr.Janaka Wijayasiri is a Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka (IPS). To view the article online and comment, visit the IPS blog ‘Talking Economics’ – www.ips.lk/talkingeconomics)