Colombo University Survey predicts Maithri victory

31 December 2014 11:22 am - 32     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

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A Colombo University survey has found that common opposition candidate Maithripala Sirisena was ahead in the polls with 53% of the votes.


According to the survey report released on December 27, the assessment was made by taking into consideration the Sinhalese voter base while predicting that the Muslim and Tamil votes would be equally divided between the candidates. It revealed that under these conditions Maithripala Sirisena would be ahead by 200,000 votes.


Against the background of the main Muslim and Tamil parties having pledged their allegiance to the common candidate, the survey revealed that he was likely to secure a 900,000 majority.


The survey also revealed that 28% of those who cast their votes for President Mahinda Rajapaksa in 2010 would vote for the common candidate at this election while 11% of those who voted for the incumbent were undecided as to whom to vote.

 
According to the survey, 38% of first-time voters would vote for President Mahinda Rajapaksa and 33% for Mr. Sirisena while 13 to 15% had not decided on their choice of candidate.


The survey team was headed by Dr. Lalithsiri Gunaruwan and Dr. D.S. Jayaweera. (Jehan Gunasekara)

  Comments - 32

  • ERANTHA Thursday, 01 January 2015 12:42 PM

    VICTORY FOR MUSLIMS,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

    Prabhath Thursday, 01 January 2015 12:48 PM

    This is a dream.village people does not allow to betray this country.My3 is a pathetic leader.

    ukusu asa Friday, 02 January 2015 12:25 PM

    divide Sinhalese vote 12 MR 12 MY3 then it will be the interesting for the minor nations like before late 1990 they will get the remote control.SATHUTUTHER..... via DM Android App

    De Silva Thursday, 01 January 2015 01:23 PM

    What ever these gurus say we need a change and it should be a real change.I think only MY3 is the only person who can make this change.

    Amdon Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:33 PM

    Welcome 2015.....As we wish change is taking place

    yaka mahahathaya Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:35 PM

    ah.. white van will arrive tonight to pick the two learned doctors

    Bala Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:37 PM

    Let us hope that this will really come true. Also let us hope that there will not be some skullduggery by govt like bombs going off to show it as LTTE activity etc.

    Nali Saturday, 03 January 2015 12:24 PM

    More chance to MY3

    willows Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:40 PM

    JAYAWEVA

    Don Don Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:45 PM

    Actual difference will be more than that. MY3 may get nearly 58% with latest developments.

    Prabha Friday, 02 January 2015 05:19 PM

    Victory for Muslims and Tsmils.

    MR VS MS Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:54 PM

    WOW keleniya university predicts that MR will win by 53%.. and Colombo university predicts that MS will win by 53 percent..whats going on guys...cleary one of the universities have failed completely..i mean which ever university that gets it wrong..lol

    silva Wednesday, 31 December 2014 05:56 PM

    jayawewa via DM Android App

    cader ismail Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:01 PM

    the prediction is correct and also recent past the comment made by education minister abusive words, and an another thug deputy minister attitude also undermining the president popularity among the people.

    Janaka Thursday, 01 January 2015 09:55 AM

    Great news for the new year....Congrats MY3...

    krishna Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:03 PM

    This survey shows common scene of the people.

    Nuwan Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:04 PM

    finally we got an exact survey predict, Will hope for the best......

    Malik Seinudeen Saturday, 03 January 2015 08:16 AM

    Whoever wins we will bw the loosers, We the ordinary people.

    Lareef Wednesday, 31 December 2014 09:49 PM

    Most of the online polls says Mr.Maithreepala Sirisena will win with 82% of votes.We need a New year with New life, lets vote My3

    dcn Wednesday, 31 December 2014 10:00 PM

    Maithree may even poll higher than predicted.

    Rata Dinawana Magak Wednesday, 31 December 2014 10:11 PM

    If we use 2010 results (MR 60 lakhs and SF 42 lakhs) and assuming this time North and East will vote 80% which was roughly the norm of the rest of the country. Also, assume North and East will vote same % for two main candidates. Then if we assume rest of the country cast same number of total votes yet 20% less what MR got in 2010 and that 20% goes to MY3. Then the MR would get 50 lakhs and MY3 would get 58 lakhs.. This is very possible.....

    shahul h manseer Thursday, 01 January 2015 03:01 PM

    too much corruption too much fadup

    Sarath Surasena Wednesday, 31 December 2014 10:30 PM

    No, this is not correct. MR will be the winner.

    kusal Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:29 PM

    MY3 will win with majority of 53%

    Lucky Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:32 PM

    We are to celebrate the new year on the 9th January. Hooray!!!!!!

    Dom Wednesday, 31 December 2014 06:40 PM

    This is a Government University but was impossible for MR to bribe. These professors are intelligent.

    Perera Thursday, 01 January 2015 05:56 AM

    Well kelaniya university is goverment funded and result is obviouse. Colombo uni has another Maithree in the way of rails beloved wife.so that is bias as well..I guess both reports plus online polls can be thrown to the garbage as useless bias drama.

    M.O.A.Careem Thursday, 01 January 2015 06:17 AM

    majority of the ministers are silent is another question?

    firoz Thursday, 01 January 2015 06:56 AM

    GOOD ASSUMPTION

    UPUL Friday, 02 January 2015 03:03 PM

    if MY3 wins brainless SRi Lankans - good for them. Let them suffer.

    amy Thursday, 01 January 2015 07:25 AM

    change is a must

    Ajith Thursday, 01 January 2015 12:08 PM

    I hope a change is needed to refresh the vision of the country.


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