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Last Updated : 2022-08-14 14:45:00
In his statement, the MP states that (a) industries in total contribute to 26.4% of GDP, (b) industrial exports contribute 10% to GDP and (c) 10% of export against the 26.4% production is a very low share of total industrial production to export.
To check this claim, FactCheck.lk consulted the National Accounts and Annual Exports Statistics published by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka and World Bank Development Indicators.
On claim (a), according to the provisional data, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Market Prices amounted to LKR 14,973 billion in 2020 where industrial production contributed LKR 3,930 billion, or 26.2%. This is in line with the minister’s claim.
On claim (b), industrial exports amounted to LKR 1,419 billion in 2020 which accounted for about 36% of industrial exports and 9.5% of the GDP. This 9.5% of GDP that is exported in contrast to the 26.5% industrial production could explain the MP’s claim of 10%.
On claim (c), according to World Bank data on industry value added and manufacturing exports for 2017, Sri Lanka’s industrial exports of 9.5% was higher than the 4.3%, median share of exports of GDP of lower-middle income countries and lower than the 19.0% median share of industrial exports relative to GDP of upper-middle income countries.
Sri Lanka is close to the boundary of the lower- and upper-middle income country classifications. While the claim cannot be justified on the lower-middle income country benchmark of 4.3%, it can be justified on the upper-middle income country benchmark of 19.0%. Furthermore, more than a quarter of the lower-middle income countries (for which data is available in 2017) have more than a 10% share of exports to GDP and half of them have more than a 20% share in exports – so the minister claim could also be justified as evaluating Sri Lanka against the top 25% of lower-middle income countries.
Therefore, we classify his statement as TRUE.
*FactCheck.lk’s verdict is based on the most recent information that is publicly accessible. As with every fact check, if new information becomes available, FactCheck.lk will revisit the assessment.
FactCheck is a platform run by Verité Research.
For comments, suggestions and feedback, please visit www.factcheck.lk.
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K.M.Palitha Perera Saturday, 29 May 2021 09:38 PM
Oh! Unbelievable!! First time I came across a situation where a statement made by this person is classified as true. To my knowledge, this is a man with brains, the country should make use of. Hats off to independent judgement of 'FactCheck.lk'
BuffaloaCitizen Sunday, 30 May 2021 01:45 PM
Short and sweet, this fellow does not have the competency nor levels of education to make an analysis of this sort and make a statement. These fellows are simply henchies good at instigating racism and make a living.
Lalchands Saturday, 05 June 2021 03:04 AM
What can we expect from you. You compromised our health promoting Cinnamon cigarettes. Go home before the truth catches up with you
Priyadasa Kumani Saturday, 05 June 2021 05:22 PM
Came out from the kitchen again! Ashame to see you!!
vince Sunday, 06 June 2021 12:10 PM
His observations are as good as a damp squib.
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