SL may have 550 Covid-19 infected persons: GMOA

25 March 2020 10:47 pm - 11     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

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The Government Medical Officers' Association (GMOA) today said that based on the experience from Hubei, China, “It can be technically assumed that at present, 550 infected individuals are circulating within the population.”

Issuing a situational report, they said 101 cases were confirmed by today (25) while 32 of them were among those who arrived from abroad and sent to quarantine directly and 69 from the community.

The GMOA said an estimated 550 possible patients would have had a total of 19, 000 contacts.
“Nineteen Thousand of our population may have been exposed to this disease condition, and they are now under the observation of Medical, Military and Administrative structures,” the report said.

If movements freely take place, without social distancing, one individual can infect 500 others within 30 days. Within 50 per cent social distancing, one individual can infect 15 others. By 70 per cent social distancing, the ability to infect others is 2.5 per one infected person within 30 days, the situation report added.

The report added: “Considering Western nations that have been unsuccessful in carrying out social distancing, it can be assumed that between the period of 25.03.2020 and 07.04. 2020, if social distancing is not carried out, the numbers will face a rapid increase. Thus if the citizens of Sri Lanka follow through with the health advice that is given, we can assume that there will be a favorable outcome in the subsequent two weeks.”(Chaturanga Samarawickrama)

  Comments - 11

  • Chux Wednesday, 25 March 2020 11:05 PM

    On a rare occasion GMOA must be right as there is no proper and adequate testing facilities available right now in our country so it is tuff to measure how many carrying the virus

    sarath Wednesday, 25 March 2020 11:12 PM

    SHUT YOUR MOUTH. DO SOME THING FOR PEOPLE. EVERY OTHER DAY WITH MEDIA ONLY. HOW YOU KNOW. FIRST YOU STARTED WITH OUR COUNTRY SAFE. AFTER ONE WEEK EVERY THING UNDER CONTROL. THIRD TIME WE HAVE ENOUGH MEDICAL FACILITIES. NOW 500 PERSON. WAIT AND SEE. YOU CALCULATION????????

    Ram Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:09 AM

    Give some respect to them. They are working harder than anyone in this country at the moment. Even police or Army wouldn't be taking such risk at this moment. So Humbly You better shut up.

    Kusal Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:47 AM

    They are all TV stars now. This what they die for. Their moment of glory has finally arrived. I can't say this about all GMOA but mainly padadeniya, Haritha and navin. They are not interested in the people.

    prabath uduwella Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:49 AM

    Don't make such dumb statements. Check what's happening to USA. 10000 new cases reported overnight after some slow period.

    Dr. Frank Wingler Thursday, 26 March 2020 08:57 AM

    Curfew will not help. After a periode it had to be lifted and then people crowding and fighting for shopping within a short periode of curfew lfting. Better keep food shops and banks open, allow people to move, but keep distance of 2 m from each other and not allow any social meetings or activities or gatherings. Then there will be less crowdings for shopping essential needs.

    Lokka Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:03 AM

    Does it include Silent Carries or not !. Hubei does not take into account the salient cases (which would have been 1/3 more than reported).

    Ranjith Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:34 AM

    GMOA your calculations people have their doubts because you always had politicle agendas and misleading the people

    newton gardiye Punchihewa Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:42 AM

    First case in Sri Lanka was identified not on 11/03/2020 but on 26/01/2020 (the Chinese lady)

    Ronnie Bugger Thursday, 26 March 2020 09:56 AM

    Cannot be construed as correct. Probably wants to be included in the "limelight" of things. These arse holes did not give a shit about health and sickness in the past. Now they are talking. May all those who are concerned treat them as crap.

    Citizen Thursday, 26 March 2020 08:27 PM

    When are you going on STRIKE against the Corona Virus ?


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