Rupee ends weaker on importer, bank dollar demand

(Colombo) REUTERS: Sri Lanka’s rupee ended weaker yesterday as importer dollar demand and continued outflows of foreign funds from government bonds and stock markets due to political uncertainty dented investor sentiment. 

The bourse fell to a six-week low. The Colombo Stock Index fell 0.51 percent to settle at 5,992.36, its lowest close since Nov. 28, as worried investors awaited political cues after the last quarter’s turmoil. The bourse lost 5 percent in 2018.

Turnover was Rs.933 million (US$5.11 million), more than last year’s daily average of Rs.834 million.

Foreign investors were net sellers of Rs.124.8 million worth of shares yesterday. They have been net sellers of Rs.13.9 billion worth of stocks since a political crisis began on Oct. 26. 

The bond market saw outflows of Rs.74.3 billion between Oct. 25 and Jan. 2, the latest Central Bank data showed.

Last year through Dec. 26, foreign investors pulled a net Rs.22.8 billion out of stocks, and Rs.159.8 billion from government securities, according to bourse and Central Bank showed data.

The rupee ended at 182.50/70 yesterdau, compared with 182.30/40 in the previous session, market sources said. On Thursday, the rupee had fallen to an all-time low of 183.00 against the dollar. 

The rupee fell 19 percent in 2018, making it one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia, Refinitiv Eikon data showed, due to heavy foreign outflows.
The rupee has declined about 5.2 percent since the political crisis started. 

The Central Bank said last week it would stick to an exchange rate policy of cautious intervention in times of excessive volatility in the forex market.
That policy is designed to maintain a competitive exchange rate and support the rebalancing of the current account, thereby supporting a gradual build-up of reserves, Central Bank Chief Indrajit Coomaraswamy said on Wednesday, unveiling economic policies for 2019.

President Maithripala Sirisena appointed a Cabinet of ministers from his rival party on Dec. 21 after he was forced to reinstate Ranil Wickremesinghe as Prime Minister, 51 days after he was sacked. 

The crisis is expected to ease, though tense relations between the two men could cause fiscal problems, analysts say. Parliament has approved Rs.1.77 trillion (US$9.39 billion) to meet the first four months of expenditure in 2019, averting a government shutdown from Jan. 1.

 Sri Lanka plans to increase government spending by 13.2 percent from last year to Rs.4.47 trillion (US$24.51 billion) in 2019, the Finance Ministry said yesterdau.
Credit agencies Fitch and S&P downgraded Sri Lanka’s sovereign rating in early December, citing refinancing risks and an uncertain policy outlook.